Senin, 31 Mei 2010

[B897.Ebook] Free Ebook Between the Dark and Light -The Grateful Dead Photography of Jay Blakesberg, by Jay (photographer) Phil Lesh (foreword) and Blair Jackson

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  • Published on: 2002
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Sabtu, 29 Mei 2010

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A quick introduction to the basics of marketing, aimed at people starting a business for the first time.

  • Sales Rank: #2293032 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2011-03-01
  • Released on: 2011-03-21
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Senin, 24 Mei 2010

[Y289.Ebook] Download PDF The presidential character: predicting performance in the White House (4th Edition) (Chinese Edition), by James David Barber

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"The presidential character: predicting performance in the White House (4th Edition)" describes the stories of US presidents with interesting writing style. However, it is not a history book , for it is not intended to cover the presidents' past, but to predict what is going to happen based on what has taken place. The author believes that the individual personality, world view and political style can help us to predict their actions after they take office. Besides, the author explains and predicts a dozen presidents and potential candidates' behaviors.

  • Published on: 2015-01-01
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 755 pages

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Senin, 17 Mei 2010

[N494.Ebook] PDF Ebook Asset Allocation, Risk Management and the Variance Risk Premium: Portfolio Management and Risk Management implications of the S&P500 predic

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Asset Allocation, Risk Management and the Variance Risk Premium: Portfolio Management and Risk Management implications of the S&P500 predic

This dissertation shows the practical usefulness for asset allocation and risk management purposes of the variance risk premium, an index of market implied risk aversion. With reference to the asset allocation application, the short term forecasting ability of the variance risk premium is tested in a real time experiment by simulating long/ short quarterly rebalanced portfolios invested in the S&P500 based on the prediction of econometric models incorporating the premium. The result indicates that the use of the risk aversion index allows the Investor to outperform both the buy and hold strategy as well as similar strategies not including the risk premium both on a risk adjusted basis as well an on an absolute return one. With reference to the risk management application of the risk aversion index, we modify the filtered historical simulation approach to computation of the value at risk by relaxing the assumption of random walk and replace the model drift with a time varying conditional expectation of short-term stock returns. We find that there is little evidence that value at risk models can be improved with the predictability associated with the variance risk premium.

  • Published on: 2011-09-14
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.66" h x .30" w x 5.91" l, .45 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 132 pages

About the Author
Giacomo Allori is Credit Risk Analyst in the team of Stress Testing and Quantitative Credit Risk Strategies in Unicredit Group. Previously he worked in the team of Fixed Income and Foreign Exchange strategists in Unicredit HVB and with the Market Risk Management in Banca Italease. He holds a Master in Science in Finance from the Bocconi University.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
to the point and effective!
By William Della Vedova
I was looking for short term stock returns insights and I found this book very useful;
Indeed it provides groundbreaking evidence of predictability of stock behaviors. In my opinion it will be a very useful guide for asset managers and risk managers.

When investing in a security, an investor faces at least two sources of uncertainty, namely the uncertainty about the return as captured by the return variance, and the uncertainty about the return variance itself. It is important to know how investors deal with the uncertainty in return variance to effectively manage risk and allocate assets, to accurately price and hedge derivative securities, and to understand the behavior of financial asset prices in general.

The author demonstrates the predictability of quarterly variations of the S&P500 by simulating portfolios invested according to trading rules based on a risk aversion index called "the Variance Risk Premium". In a nutshell, the Variance Risk Premium is a measure of marketwide risk aversion that, foretell the stock momentum, providing short/long signals according to under/overselling.

The variance risk premium can also be analysed from the perspective of asset allocation. Carr and Wu (2007) examines whether the excess returns of selling or buying variance swaps can be explained using common factor models such as the CAPM model and the Fama-French factors, which include returns of different segments of stocks on the market.

In the book a comprehensive backtesting is provided, The best backtesting simulated portfolios achieves a cumulated 15 Years return of +1000%, VS an almost flat return of the underlying index.

As far as the risk management application is considered, the models embedding the predictability beat those based on the random walk hypothesis at weekly frequency.

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Selasa, 11 Mei 2010

[B717.Ebook] Free Ebook The Bike Lesson, by Stan Berenstain, Jan Berenstain

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Literary legends Stan and Jan Berenstain take readers for a ride in this classic Beginner Book edited by Dr. Seuss. Small Bear has a new bike, but before he can ride it, his dad insists on a teaching him about bike safety. From learning how to stop and turn to going down a hill and traveling roads you know, Small Bear has a lot to learn. And Father Bear has an unforgettable way of showing his son all the tricks of biking. The second in the beloved Berenstain Bears series, The Bike Lesson is the Tour de France of funny tales for early readers.

Originally created by Dr. Seuss, Beginner Books encourage children to read all by themselves, with simple words and illustrations that give clues to their meaning.

  • Sales Rank: #82326 in Books
  • Brand: Random House Books for Young Readers
  • Model: FBA-|281417
  • Published on: 1964-09-12
  • Released on: 1964-09-12
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.31" h x .38" w x 6.75" l, .53 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 72 pages
Features
  • Great product!

From the Inside Flap
When Brother Bear gets a brand-new bike, he's all set to ride it-that is, after Papa Bear shows him the rules of the road.

About the Author
Stan and Jan Berenstain were both born in 1923 in Philadelphia.  They didn't know each other as children, but met later at school, at the Philadelphia College of Art.  They liked each other right away, and found out that the both enjoyed the same kinds of books, plays, music and art.  During World War II, Stan was a medical assistant in the Army, and Jan worked in an airplane factory.  When the war was over, they got married and began to work together as artists and writers, primarily drawing cartoons for popular magazines.  After having their two sons Leo and Michael, the Berenstains decided to write some funny children's books that their children and other children could read and enjoy.  Their first published children's book was called The Big Honey Hunt.  It was about a family of bears, who later became known as the "Berenstain Bears."  


Stan and Jan planned all of their books together. They both wrote the stories and created the pictures.  They continued to live outside of Philadelphia in the country.  There are now over 300 Berenstain Bears books.

Most helpful customer reviews

10 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
A Great Rhyming Berenstain Bears book
By D Darkman
This is one of the earlier type of Berenstain Bears books, that rhymes in a very simple style perfect for new or early readers. The great theme is that the father, in teaching his son how to ride a bike, makes mistake after mistake, and after each disaster tells him, "this is something you should NOT do" while the son patiently and wisely watches and learns. Delightful; your young child is sure to love it. Sadly, later Berenstain rhyming books are flat and dull; then they stopped rhyming entirely. This book is lively, clever, and pure delight. (Kenneth Higbee has a useful "list" of rhyming Berenstain Bears books -- this is not on that list as of this writing.)

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
"The Bike Lesson" is a fantastic story, but this recent reprint leaves a lot to be desired
By J. Menard
I have two sons, one five and a half and the other two and a half years old, and they LOVE this story. Almost every few weeks, I have to journey back to the library and check it out as it's one of their favorite bedtime stories. Granted, it gets them a little wound up because they love to laugh at seeing Papa Bear take all his silly tumbles and pratfalls, but they listen and look at every page as I read it. My youngest calls it the "Oooooh, daddy!" book because he loves to shout that out every time Papa Bear falls off, catapults over, or submerges on the bike. Needless to say, its a big hit in our house. :)

So, I finally had enough and decided "They like it that much, I'm just gonna buy the darn thing!" I just got it in from Amazon and everyone in the house (my wife included), was totally disappointed. There must have been a recent "updated" reprint, because the copy that Amazon is selling is lacking in comparison to the original. For starters, it does not have the classic cover from 1964 as the item page shows above. Instead, if you want to see what you'll get if you buy this, choose the "Kindle Edition" to see the new cover. Also, the colors in the book are either completely different or totally washed out. It's as if someone forgot to load the 'Red' into the printing press and the 'Green' was on its way out. For example...

Rocks which were chocolate brown in '64 are now stone grey.
The bears which were a deep tan in '64 are now a pale beige/creamy, sickly yellow
And in this version the greens are all desaturated and washed out
etc. etc. etc.

If you want to get a copy of this fantastic book that still retains the vibrant richness and heart as Stan and Jan originally made it, then I suggest that you try to find it in a store in person, or via a site such as eBay, where you can see what you're actually going to be getting.

Again, the story is beautiful and fun and I can't recommend it enough to kids and parents alike; but this current edition is literally a poor copy of what a great experience this book is to enjoy. And no amount of silly voices while reading it can compensate for bland colors and washed-out pages. ;)

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
The Bike Lesson
By Mississippi
Great book for beginning readers. All 3 of my children loved this. My second grader read it for school. Easy reading and easy to follow.

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Senin, 03 Mei 2010

[P749.Ebook] Download When Will the Heaven Begin?: This Is Ben Breedlove's Story, by Ally Breedlove, Ken Abraham

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When Will the Heaven Begin?: This Is Ben Breedlove's Story, by Ally Breedlove, Ken Abraham

An inspirational and heartrending memoir about Ben Breedlove, whose videos about his near-death experiences and visions of heaven went viral in 2012, written by his sister, Ally Breedlove.

On Christmas Day 2011, Ben Breedlove’s soul went to heaven. But it wasn’t his first time there. Ben suffered from hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), a heart condition that posed a constant risk of sudden death. His condition, a thickening of the heart muscle, worsened over time, leaving him weak and fatigued. It also led Ben to some close calls medically, in particular cardiac arrest on four separate occasions, during which he felt the presence of angels and experienced the perfect peace of heaven.

Precocious and warm, Ben was close with his family and two siblings, and forged deep relationships with his friends. He loved to wakeboard and wakesurf, and he had dreams of visiting foreign countries around the world. He created the YouTube channels TotalRandomness512 and BreedloveTV, and cocreated the channel OurAdvice4You,  where he posted videos about everything from dating advice for girls to more serious topics like his spirituality and heart condition.

Unbeknownst to his parents and family, Ben created a two-part video called “This Is My Story,” in which he used flash cards to tell the world about his near-death experiences and his beckoning toward heaven.

When he died a short while later at the tender age of eighteen, his family and the rest of the world stumbled upon these videos. The world responded with overwhelming acceptance of the message Ben shared.

Ben’s vision of heaven was his gift to his family, and to the world. And now this is the Breedlove family’s gift to us—an in-depth look at the life and near-deaths of Ben, the strength and faith of a family, and, ultimately, the hope of heaven.

Do you believe in Angels or God? I Do.—Ben Breedlove 

  • Sales Rank: #534007 in Books
  • Brand: Breedlove, Ally/ Abraham, Ken
  • Published on: 2013-10-29
  • Released on: 2013-10-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.23" h x .87" w x 5.50" l, .74 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 320 pages
Features
  • When Will the Heaven Begin?: This Is Ben Breedlove's Story [Paperback] [Oct 29, 2013] Breedlove, Ally and Abraham, Ken

Review
“Reading these pages you’ll discover how one precious young man treated life as a gift from God and thus became a gift from God. Just as his many videos and devotion to family and friends touched many hearts, I pray that this book will, too.” —Don Piper, New York Times bestselling author of 90 Minutes in Heaven: A True Story of Death and Life

“When Will the Heaven Begin? shares Ben Breedlove’s profound message of hope and peace with the world. Ally Breedlove has done a remarkable job in this beautifully simplistic, heartfelt narrative that will endear every reader to Ben, while reminding us to live every day with joy.”—Elizabeth Bryan, coauthor of Chicken Soup for the Soul: Count Your Blessings

 “Ben Breedlove’s story affected me deeply from the moment I first heard it. We are all lucky that Ally Breedlove shared Ben’s incredible experiences and discovery with the world in When Will the Heaven Begin? Ben’s life was filled with struggles that no person or family would ever wish for, but what he ultimately came to realize was that every life, and everything in your life, truly matters and has a purpose. His unshakable belief in God and the perfect peace that is waiting for all of us in heaven will provide hope and inspiration to millions.”—Glenn Beck

“Ever since Ben came into my life I have been on a new journey. He saved me. Not drugs, not liquor, Ben. I think it's safe to say that he single-handedly reignited the spark in me to keep going and to keep creating. I do believe that he was sent here on a mission from God.”—Scott Mescudi (a.k.a. Kid Cudi)

About the Author
Ally Breedlove is Ben Breedlove’s older sister. She currently lives in Austin, Texas, where she pursues her love of film, writing, and speaking.

Ken Abraham has published eighty books, including thirteen New York Times bestsellers.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.
From When Will the Heaven Begin? by Ally Breedlove. Reprinted by arrangement with New American Library, a member of Penguin Group (USA) LLC, a Penguin Random House Company. Copyright © The Ben Breedlove Trust, 2013.

Ben stepped into his bedroom, and sat down at his studio desk, taking in the sight of his personal sanctuary. He loved this room that he had inherited when Ally went off to college. In addition to the corner “studio,” he was surrounded by so many meaningful personal items—a small cross given to him by some missionaries from Thailand sat on his nightstand right where the missionaries had left it for him years ago; his surfboard and wakeboard that he loved so much that he kept it in his bedroom rather than a garage or in the boat; his drumsticks, and several personal photos. This was Ben’s place. Or, at least it had been.

His desk, still adorned with his favorite set props, was illuminated by the bright flood of his studio lighting. The gigantic green screen still hung from his bedroom wall, transforming a teenage bedroom into a professional setting. This room had set the stage for every video Ben had ever made, and it would now, for his final project. As much as he loved every second of life in this world, he had a strong feeling that it was no longer his primary residence. Ben took his seat in his studio, and settled into the limelight.

He reached in a drawer and pulled out some three by five inch blank white note cards. He found a black Sharpie and began to write.

He had seen a video on YouTube in which another teen, Kieran Miles, used note cards to express a message without ever speaking a word. Kieran shared how he had been bullied by others for most of his life, but that he was going to make it through, despite the pain and struggle. Ben was profoundly moved by Kieran’s suffering. In fact, after discovering the video, he brought his computer into the kitchen to show it to his parents. Ben decided he had a message that could encourage people to have hope, so he wanted to express it in a similar manner as Kieran had done. In producing his own video, Ben credited Kieran as his inspiration for the flash-card form in which he presented his message.

Jake and his friend Nate popped into Ben’s room to see what he was doing. Jake was accustomed to seeing his brother working on videos, so he wasn’t surprised to see Ben on his computer again. Jake and Nate were more interested in tossing a ball to Chica, the Breedloves’ four-year-old, purebred Maltese, so they went into the room across the hall and didn’t pay much attention to what Ben was doing.

Sitting in front of his green screen, the same spot where he had created videos from various “locations” around the world, Ben leaned in toward the camera on his computer. Normally, he made his videos with his whole set-up—the studio, cameras, lights, with his pseudo-microphone sitting atop his desk, but not this time. For this project, Ben knelt next to his bed, and leaned in close to his laptop. He punched in the music to an instrumental version of “Mad World”, a song originally recorded by British new wave band, Tears For Fears. Singer-songwriter, Gary Jules, rerecorded the song for the movie,Donnie Darko. Jules’ version of the song was also used dozens of times as background music for the classic soap opera, General Hospital, as well as a prime time, hospital based show, Private Practice, a spin off of Grey’s Anatomy. The song was a natural choice for Ben. Although the lyrics weren’t featured in the video, Ben knew them by heart. They almost perfectly choreographed his brush with heaven.

I find it kind of funny . . . .

I find it kind of sad . . . .

The dreams in which I’m dying . . . .

Are the best I’ve ever had . . . .4

No doubt, a reference to his vision on the floor at school,Ben began to show the note-cards in the order he had written them, holding up each card for just a few seconds, barely long enough for his viewers to read the message, before moving on to the next card. He said not a word, but told his story through the handwritten words on the cards, his demeanor, and his countenance.

Ben’s facial features matched the message on the cards. When the card presented a serious message describing his condition of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, Ben’s countenance was commensurately serious. But when he told of positive, happy experiences, such as the bright light he had experienced when he was four, or the “vision” in which Kid Cudi joined him in the bright white, waiting room of heaven, he displayed a hint of a smile that let the viewer know that this was a good moment in Ben’s life. Occasionally, his eyes glanced to his upper right, as though searching for something, but he made no reference to whatever he saw there.

When he described receiving a pacemaker, Ben stood up momentarily, and pulled back the neck of his t-shirt, revealing the large reddish scar on his chest. Other than that, he remained seated throughout both sections of the video, staying especially close to the camera on his computer.

He picked up the story on part two of the video, beginning with his collapse in school on December 6th, just a few weeks earlier. He wasn’t obsessed so much with artistic excellence or form on this video. It was obvious that Ben was more concerned about the message than he was the medium. On one of the cards, he had blacked out a mistake rather than creating a new card. Near the end of part 2, Chica’s wagging tail could be clearly seen swishing into the camera shot over Ben’s right shoulder. Ben didn’t seem to mind.

As Ben came to the conclusion of his story, he slowed the pace of the cards, holding each one slightly longer. After describing his experience in “heaven’s waiting room,” Ben added on one of the last cards the poignant statement, “I wish I NEVER woke up.”

Then before the viewer even had time to grapple with the meaning of that statement, Ben asked a question on the next to last card—a question that would profoundly impact the heart of nearly every person who would watch the video. On the next to last card, Ben asked, “Do you believe in Angels or God?”
Holding one more card, Ben added the important message he wanted to share with his friends.

The final card read simply: “I Do.”

Ben didn’t upload the video to his usual channel location, “BreedloveTV.” Instead, Ben decided to upload the video to his newest YouTube channel, “TotalRandomness512,” a play on Austin’s telephone area code. He set up no advertising or any means to gain revenue from this channel. It was a gift.

Looking into the computer screen, Ben gave the video one last look, and pressed “upload.” The two-part YouTube videos simply titled, “This is My Story,” now belonged to the world.

Most helpful customer reviews

31 of 32 people found the following review helpful.
Life Changing
By Teri R.
I read this book in one day...hard to put down. At times it was heartbreaking, other times heartwarming. The story takes you on a roller coaster of emotions, but in the end, the one word I would use to describe it is 'inspiring.' It has inspired me to love more fiercely, live life with more abandon, and trust God no matter what. Thank you Ally for sharing your family's story with all of us.

20 of 21 people found the following review helpful.
Living as if every day was your last!
By Viviane Crystal
Ben Breedlove just wanted to be an ordinary person but that was impossible as he was born with HCM or hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. This condition meant that Ben's heart could stop at any moment. While certain strenuous activities or foods could send Ben into atrial fibrillation and eventual HCM, heart failure could also happen at any time, including while he was sleeping. This was an amazing burden for his parents to bear; yet like so many parents with children with special physical needs, they lived with this reality, in fact lived as normal life as one could live under their unique circumstances. The story of Ben is not about illness but about living with the knowledge that one is blessed with what one has and that eventually passing to another life is okay, in fact, more than okay. For Ben that faithful knowledge was a product of experience.
Before that special event occurred, however, Ben had to deal with numerous medical tests and curtailment of his eating and play habits as a child. His parents were shocked to learn of this condition, a thickening of the heart muscle which would worsen over time, and the fact that there was no surgery or medicine that could cure it or even ease. While he was given medications which could ease the symptoms, he had to learn to live with it. Ben is depicted as a pleasant child and teen who loved to play tricks on his family, enjoy his friends, and developed a special love for making videos. Close to his parents and sisters, he was a normal person whose condition kept everyone on alert as to the slightest changes in his physical appearance. He even tried some less strenuous sports such as wake surfing but after one particular experience of a fractured ankle was unable to continue what he loved.
As Ben grew older, he began making videos for YouTube on just about every topic of interest to teens such as dating, spirituality, etc. Eventually he made a video about his own heart condition and the experience he had in which he clearly knew he was on his way to heaven. He knew from that point on that death wasn't to be feared; instead he actually welcomed it, very aware that he even longed for it as he knew his heart couldn't hold out much longer. The video was called, "This is My Story," Ben's account of his near death experience told through the use of flash cards. The questions he ultimately asked on these flash cards, before his untimely death at the age of 18 years old, concerned whether the reader believed in God, as well as asking what "you" are doing with the life you are living. Potent words from a teen in a poignant condition.
When it comes to a person's demise coming at a young age, with the consciousness of its looming presence, each person almost always concentrates on the special qualities of everyday living in this earthly environment. But Ben's life laced with compassion and humor is about what each person is doing in this life that has value and purpose and how important it is to consider the afterlife of heaven. No, there's no fear here at all. Heaven is described in a highly appealing way and depicted as an appealing experience that should be welcome. It seems that it can't be anything other than `heavenly."
Words cannot fully capture the unique quality of this story about Ben Breedlove. Only the hardest of hearts could read this book and not be deeply moved. It is a tribute to the passionate love of life and God that was Ben's primary concern and his legacy to the world he left, which is awaiting a reunion with Ben in the heaven he so lovingly describes! Ally Breedlove has written a fitting tribute that is more about her brother's message of love to a hopefully wide audience! Nicely done, indeed, Ally Breedlove!

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Wisdom
By JAMES E BOICE
Amazing story of true wisdom from a gifted young writer. Ally Breedlove has much to offer the world. Thank you.

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